Man United vs Man City prediction and odds: Cash in on Manchester derby by backing Ole Gunnar Solksjaer’s side to avoid defeat

Manchester City haven’t won a Premier League derby since April 2019 but they head into Saturday’s Old Trafford showpiece as red-hot favourites to pile more pressure on Ole Gunnar Solksjaer and his side.

However, this doesn’t look as straightforward as the odds suggest. City are a very restrictive 7/10 chance with Grosvenor Sport, with the hosts priced up at 15/4, odds which will appeal to many despite United’s inconsistency.

United got the bounce-back they needed at Spurs last weekend, where the reversion to a back three proved a solid foundation for what tuned into an emphatic success.

Unfortunately for Solksjaer, injuries to Victor Lindelof, and to Raphael Varane in midweek, mean that the Reds’ boss faces a difficult choice between going back to the two centre-back scenario that was obliterated by Liverpool or test-drive a new back three that could see Luke Shaw move inside, with Alex Telles coming into the side on the left.

Clearly, that defensive issue is a concern but if United can get that right, they have a real chance of getting something from this. For all his obvious flaws, Solksjaer has got his tactics spot on when coming up against Pep Guardiola and it wouldn’t be the biggest shock if he did so once again.

United demonstrated last weekend that they were able to transition through the pitch incisively and effectively and, even allowing for the fact that that was against a poor Spurs side, this is a strategy that has worked a treat for the Reds against City in recent fixtures.

Pep Guardiola’s side highlighted once again that they can be vulnerable to a quality counter-attacking side by losing 2-0 at home to Crystal Palace last weekend where they were undone by to extremely clinical finishes. It’s a scenario that could easily repeat itself this weekend given the quality of offensive player at Solksjaer’s disposal.

City quite clearly have the capability to cut United, who haven’t kept a clean sheet at home all season. to ribbons, just like Liverpool did two weekends ago, but the absence of a top-class centre forward has been their achilles heel at times and it is worth noting that they have failed to score in four of their last five matches against United.

Manchester United will be looking to reach a special landmark in the UEFA Champions League against Atalanta.
Manchester United will be looking to reach a special landmark in the UEFA Champions League against Atalanta.

Man United vs Man City prediction

City are a tricky side to assess from a betting point of view at the moment because they either score four or five, or none at all, which meas they are capable of embarrassing anyone that backs against them. However, their recent record against United strongly suggest that punters should be wary of going in heavy on Pep’s side.

At least once side has failed to score in the last five meetings between these two and this once again has the potential to become quite a tight, tactical affair given United simply cannot afford to allow the game to open up.

In what could be a low-scoring game, the most appealing bet is to back United and the draw at combined odds of 6/5, a wager that would have collected in four of the last five Manchester derbies.

Recommended bet: Man United or draw double chance – 6/5

Man United vs Man City odds

Manchester United 19/5

Draw 3/1

Manchester City 7/10

*odds subject to change

Get £30 in FREE BETS when you bet £10 on the Manchester derby with Grosvenor Sport

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MANCHESTER, ENGLAND – NOVEMBER 03: Raheem Sterling of Manchester City celebrates with teammates Bernardo Silva and Phil Foden after scoring their team’s third goal during the UEFA Champions League group A match between Manchester City and Club Brugge KV at Etihad Stadium on November 03, 2021 in Manchester, England. (Photo by Clive Brunskill/Getty Images)

Man United vs Man City Key Stats

  • Manchester United are unbeaten in their last four league meetings with City.
  • Both teams to score (no) would have been a winning bet in the last five clashes between these two.
  • Manchester United haven’ kept a clean sheet at home all season.
  • Manchester City are scoring at a rate of a goal every nine shots this season (20 goals from 179 shots).
  • João Cancelo (22) has had more shots than any other Manchester City player this season.

  • Paul Pogba has missed four big chances this season, more that any other player on either side.

  • Manchester City (6,263) have completed over more 1000 passes than United (5,218) this season.

Man United vs Man City Head to Head

7 Mar, 2021: Manchester City 0-2 Manchester United (Premier League)

6 Jan, 2021: Manchester United 0-2 Manchester City (Carling Cup)

12 Dec, 2020: Manchester United 0-0 Manchester City (Premier League)

8 Mar, 2020: Manchester United 2-0 Manchester City (Premier League)

29 Jan, 2020: Manchester City 0-1 Manchester United (Carling Cup)

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